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Chinese Yuan: Stronger fix guides gradual RMB gains – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that USD/CNH dipped after a stronger USD/CNY fix below 6.80, the first such level since February 2023. They read this as policymakers being comfortable with …

Gold price crashes as Waller warning sparks Fed hike fears

Gold price (XAU/USD) plunges on Monday after remarks by Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller, who revealed that if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rises this week, the Fed should consider interest rate hikes…

Crude Oil finds a toll booth where its ceasefire used to be

Crude Oil is repricing the death of a framework rather than any single missile exchange. West Texas Intermediate trades near $75.00, up close to 5%, with Brent near $80.00, after Trump declared the United States will re…

Equities: Positioning signals recovery optionality – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Emerging Markets (EM) equity positioning is heavily skewed toward South Korea and Taiwan, with the rest of EM seeing historically low allocations. China’s weakness and poor EM data have al…

British Pound falls as Oil shock boosts the US Dollar

The Pound Sterling begins the week on a lower note, as over-the-weekend developments in the Middle East fueled inflation expectations due to the rise in Oil prices. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3369, …

Japanese Yen: Higher energy prices pressure JPY – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman reports the Japanese Yen has weakened again, pushing USD/JPY back above 162.00 as higher energy prices and fading impact from last week’s verbal intervention weigh on the currency. He explains that un…

US Dollar: CPI, Fed speakers and Warsh testimony – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen highlights a US‑centric data and policy calendar, with June CPI expected to ease to 3.8% year‑on‑year and core inflation to 2.8%. He also points to multiple Fed speakers…

Fed: Inflation risks and policy hold – TD Securities

TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir highlight that the June FOMC minutes were hawkish, with most participants ready to hike if supply-driven inflation persists. They still project the Fed will keep rates on…

Oil: Strait of Hormuz risks reshape macro mix – BNY

BNY's Geoff Yu notes that renewed U.S.-Iran tensions have lifted Brent and WTI, with markets reassessing energy supply risks and broader risk sentiment. Yu stresses that the Strait of Hormuz is now the key macro channel…

Euro climbs above 1.1400 as US Dollar loses ground

EUR/USD trades with a mild positive bias on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) gives back its earlier gains. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1424 after recovering from an intraday low of 1.1384.