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US Dollar Downturn Lacks the Rate Ingredient

The post-midterm dollar correction requires a worsening of USD rate differentials to turn into a downturn. But as oil prices fall, other central banks are facing similar or even larger dovish repricing than the Fed. Dat…

BoE set to hike interest rate for the first time this year

The Bank of England (BoE) announced on Thursday that it raised the policy rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 4% following the November meeting. This decision came in line with the market expectation. Eight members of the …

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Remains close to 20-day EMA

The Japanese Yen (JPY) trades higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday. In the European trade, the USD/JPY pair is down 0.3% to near 157.90. The pair faces selling pressure as the US Dollar underperforms due to fe…

Euro: Positive outlook hinges on 1.1280 against US Dollar - UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that EUR/USD rallied to 1.1272 before closing at 1.1227 as the US Dollar (USD) weakened on lower US yields. They see the pair in a short-term range b…

Indonesian Rupiah gains as Q3 GDP beats expectations

USD/IDR remains subdued for the second successive day, trading around 18,110 during Asian hours Thursday. The Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) holds gains against the US Dollar (USD) following the release of Gross Domestic Produ…

Hong Kong: Growth outlook improves – UOB

UOB economist Ho Woei Chen reports that Hong Kong’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth accelerated sharply in 3Q26, driven by strong goods exports and investment. Chen highlights support from the semiconductors and AI …

Mexican Peso climbs on Democratic sweep ahead of Banxico call

The Mexican Peso rallies against the US Dollar following the Democratic blue sweep in the US midterm elections, with Democrats set to control the US Senate and the House of Representatives starting in January 2027. Desp…

Chinese Yuan: PBoC slows Yuan gains – MUFG

MUFG notes that the People's Bank of China (PBoC) raised the FX reserve requirement ratio to 6% from 4% after USD/CNY moved toward 6.65, effective 15 November. The measure is seen as locking up about USD24 billion in FX…

South Korean Won: Inflation and BoK tightening backdrop – MUFG

MUFG highlights that South Korea’s inflation data show easing headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) but sticky core inflation at 2.8% year-on-year, above consensus. Combined with strong growth and a semiconductor export b…

Euro area: Core inflation risks rising – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Dr. Vincent Stamer notes that Euro area headline inflation rose to 4.0% in October, its highest level in three years, with the core rate steady at 2.5%. The report highlights broad-based price increases be…

Mexican Peso: Risks with Banxico on hold – Rabobank

Rabobank’s RaboResearch team, including Molly Schwartz and Christian Lawrence, expects Banxico to keep its overnight rate at 6.50% on November 5 and through 2027, even as the Federal Reserve is seen hiking. They highlig…