Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report EUR/USD trading slightly lower in quiet conditions as markets look ahead to next week’s ECB meeting, with policymakers in a blackout period and implied volatility subdu…
Markets are still moving higher, but the tone has become more cautious. Earlier in the rebound, investors were willing to buy almost anything tied to artificial intelligence (AI), growth, or economic recovery. Now, afte…
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that ongoing Middle East conflict, stronger United States (US) data and crude Oil risks are limiting US Dollar (USD) selling. Better manufacturing and retail figures have not shifted Fed expe…
The University of Michigan (UoM) will release the preliminary estimate of July’s Consumer Sentiment Index on Friday. The UoM report, measuring consumers’ feelings about personal finances, business conditions, and purcha…
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky reports a broad risk-off move in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), with elevated Oil and higher core yields pushing CEE rates up. Hungarian assets have suffered heavy selling, which he links to …
NZD/USD declines on Friday, trading around 0.5830 at the time of writing, down 0.19% on the day, as investors seek safe-haven assets following a fresh wave of US strikes against Iran. The US Dollar (USD) benefits from t…
Societe Generale’s Anatoli Anenkov expects no policy change at next week’s European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, with the central bank reiterating its data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach. Recent Euro Area data, i…
The Euro (EUR) records mild losses against the US Dollar (USD) for the second consecutive day on Friday. The EUR/USD pair trades at 1,1430 after being capped at 1.1480 earlier this week, extending the sideways trend, as…
Gold (XAU/USD) holds firm on Friday but lacks bullish momentum as rising Oil prices revive inflation concerns and reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could raise interest rates later this year.
TD Securities’ Macro Research team, led by Howard Du with contributions from Jayati Bharadwaj and Linda Cheng, argues that the recent Pound strength versus the Euro has overshot fundamentals. They highlight that EUR/GBP…
The digital market has become a central pillar of the global economy. In 2016, the World Bank estimated that digital economic activity was worth approximately $11.5 trillion, accounting for 15.5 percent of global GDP. S…
The Japanese Yen (JPY) ticks lower for the second consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD), reaching the 162.50 area on Friday, drawing closer to the 40-year low, at 162.84 hit earlier this month. A somewhat stronger…
Nordea’s Jan von Gerich expects the European Central Bank to leave policy rates unchanged at the July meeting, describing it as a pause rather than a shift in stance. Lower-than-expected June inflation and volatile Midd…
TD Securities strategists see asymmetric downside risks for the British Pound (GBP) against the Euro (EUR). They argue that EUR/GBP appears notably undervalued relative to rate differentials, data surprises and equity p…
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny highlights that the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains near cyclical lows, but Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) and Japan Trusts flows already show a shift back toward JGBs. He argues that formali…
Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $55.50 at the time of writing on Friday, virtually unchanged on the day, but remains on track to post a weekly loss of nearly 7%. Despite an increasingly tense geopolitical backdrop, the w…
OCBC Bank strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by its yield advantage and safe-haven status, with FX moves still fitting the USD smile framework. They expec…
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – extends its sideways consolidative price moves for the fourth straight day and trades around the $79.00 mark through the first half of the European sess…
Luxury stocks tanked early Wednesday after Gucci-owner Kering and Hermes reported first-quarter earnings that disappointed investors amid a conflict in the Middle East that is hitting luxury sales.
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens marginally higher against the US Dollar (USD) while entering the weekend. The USD/INR pair ticks down to near 96.30 as the Indian currency rises, following Reserve Bank of India’s interventi…
Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid describes a broad slump in global equities driven by renewed doubts over the AI trade. The S&P 500 fell 0.51% with futures down further, while the Nikkei, CSI 300 and Hang Seng posted …
EUR/CAD remains flat after experiencing volatility, trading around 1.6070 during the early European hours on Friday. The currency cross may experience downward pressure due to potential weakness in the Euro (EUR). Expec…
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Christopher Wong note GBP/USD has corrected sharply from recent highs near 1.3556 but now looks set to consolidate between 1.3450 and 1.3520 intraday. The 1–3 we…
The NZD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.5840 during the early European session on Friday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) as escalating tensions in the Middle East trigger risk-off sent…