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Japanese Yen: Higher energy prices pressure JPY – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman reports the Japanese Yen has weakened again, pushing USD/JPY back above 162.00 as higher energy prices and fading impact from last week’s verbal intervention weigh on the currency. He explains that un…

US Dollar: CPI, Fed speakers and Warsh testimony – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen highlights a US‑centric data and policy calendar, with June CPI expected to ease to 3.8% year‑on‑year and core inflation to 2.8%. He also points to multiple Fed speakers…

Fed: Inflation risks and policy hold – TD Securities

TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir highlight that the June FOMC minutes were hawkish, with most participants ready to hike if supply-driven inflation persists. They still project the Fed will keep rates on…

Oil: Strait of Hormuz risks reshape macro mix – BNY

BNY's Geoff Yu notes that renewed U.S.-Iran tensions have lifted Brent and WTI, with markets reassessing energy supply risks and broader risk sentiment. Yu stresses that the Strait of Hormuz is now the key macro channel…

Euro climbs above 1.1400 as US Dollar loses ground

EUR/USD trades with a mild positive bias on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) gives back its earlier gains. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1424 after recovering from an intraday low of 1.1384.

New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ tightening risks watched – UOB

UOB’s Lee Sue Ann and Jester Koh note that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised the Official Cash Rate to 2.50% in July and adopted a more hawkish tone as inflation risks remain elevated. They keep their OCR forecast …

British Pound: Gilt confidence and new leadership – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that United Kingdom (UK) assets, including the British Pound (GBP) and gilts, will react more to the choice of chancellor under incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham than to the leadership change it…