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WTI holds weekly gains near $96 amid risk premium to oil prices

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, holds onto weekly gains near $96.00 during the European trading session on Friday. The oil price has gained significantly this week, as financial markets continue to offe…

US Dollar: Flatter curve supports currency – ING

ING’s Chris Turner notes that the Dollar is benefiting from a flatter US yield curve as hot inflation data keeps short-dated rates elevated while long-dated Treasuries recover. He argues this backdrop typically favors t…

FX Daily: Inflation Vs. AI Overbuild Story Dominates

Financial markets have calmed a little after Coreweave stock bounced on Thursday. But the debate between intensifying price pressures needing tighter monetary policy and a tech correction requiring a softer policy outlo…

FX Daily: Right Market, Wrong Guard

September PPI came in strong, import prices are still running hot enough to keep the inflation story alive, and yet the long end has rallied. The 2s10s curve has flattened by roughly 20bp this week because the short end…

Gold: Recovery hinges on real yields – OCBC

OCBC’s FX Strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note Gold has rebounded over 1% as US Treasury yields, USD and Brent eased, while the Federal Reserve appears in no rush to tighten further. They remain cautiousl…

Euro retreats further as solid UK data supports British Pound

The Euro (EUR) remains on its back foot against the British Pound (GBP) on Friday, as UK macroeconomic data released on Tuesday beat expectations while Eurozone’s figures disappointed. The EUR/GBP pair hit session lows …

Japanese Yen: BoJ's Koeda reinforces tightening case – MUFG

MUFG’s Michael Wan reports that Bank of Japan (BoJ) Board Member Junko Koeda has strengthened the case for further policy tightening. Koeda emphasized upside price risks, still-accommodative financial conditions and jud…

Japanese Yen holds gains on BoJ's hawkish tilt

The USD/JPY pair loses ground to near 157.85 during the early European trading hours on Friday. Hawkish hints from Bank of Japan (BoJ) policymakers provide some support to the Japanese Yen (JPY) against the US Dollar (U…

China: Constrained but still central to growth – Rabobank

RaboResearch stresses that China’s production-oriented model, weakened by property and debt strains, increases reliance on manufacturing exports as US market access narrows. Beijing is unlikely to cut capacity or subsid…

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Double top threatens 0.8220 support

The USD/CHF pair struggles at 0.8250 on Thursday, diving below the 0.8300 figure as a ‘double top’ chart pattern looms on the daily chart, even though the overall trend is up. At the time of writing, the pair trades at …

Vietnamese Dong: Trade deal hopes and stable FX – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts discuss Vietnam’s progress toward a US trade deal, which officials say is essentially complete and could be signed soon. The agreement aims to address tariffs, transshipment and regulatory standards…

Gold defies 6.3% US PPI as Treasury yield slide fuels rally

Gold price climbs after another US inflation report on Thursday. Although the snapshot of US wholesale inflation came in hotter than expected, it was already priced in by investors, who trimmed their hawkish bets on the…

Canadian Dollar hits two-week highs as US Dollar retreats

USD/CAD loses nearly 0.30% on Thursday as falling US Treasury yields weigh on the US Dollar (USD). Concerns over debt-funded AI investments drive investors away from equities and into government bonds.